PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

markdowu

0xa7743905852b9f4e1b6cb99600c3e8375506ad25

Realised P&L
$-45.75
Volume
$3.4k
Markets traded
77
Open portfolio
$4.11

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded77
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample43 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)53.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs 6666 (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #11 Group C · 66660.5601.000$1.79+$0.79
Counter-Strike: THE UNIT vs Chinggis Warriors (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #3 Playoffs · Chinggis Warriors0.7901.000$1.27+$0.27
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs largadosypelados (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs · Bounty Hunters Esports0.4500.475$1.06+$0.06
Will Player 31 win Beast Games: Season 2? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00−$3.45
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3890.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Player 112 win Beast Games: Season 2? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$0.54
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner · MOUZ0.5460.000$0.00−$3.00
Games Total: O/U 2.5 · Over0.3580.000$0.00−$6.00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2160.000$0.00−$1.00
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs · Team Falcons0.7300.000$0.00−$3.00
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs · Aurora Gaming0.2400.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua? · Yes0.1180.000$0.00−$2.36
Games Total: O/U 4.5 · Over0.3700.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 03:22Counter-Strike: THE UNIT vs Chinggis Warriors (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #3 PlayoffsBUY0.7899998657$1.00
10-10 03:21Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs Chinggis Warriors (BO3) - MESA Pro Series PlayoffsSELL0.75$0.97
10-10 03:18Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs largadosypelados (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 PlayoffsBUY0.4499998425$1.00
10-10 03:17Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs Chinggis Warriors (BO3) - MESA Pro Series PlayoffsBUY0.77$1.00
10-10 03:17Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - ESL Pro League PlayoffsBUY0.2399999808$1.00
10-10 03:16Counter-Strike: Bebop vs 6666 (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #11 Group CBUY0.559999776$1.00
09-12 00:41Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.003$0.06
09-12 00:41Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.02290009$1.27
09-12 00:41Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.027$0.34
07-13 00:18Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.21599986$1.00
07-13 00:18Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3889997755$1.00
07-09 00:37Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.024$1.75
07-08 12:02Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0589999706$2.00
06-23 14:45Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.1609999357$2.00
06-21 12:46Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsBUY0.59999994$2.00