toobit
0xa772c22765fd6e6edbdcb2bdf738e32c4131a119
- Realised P&L
- $-290.57
- Volume
- $1.21M
- Markets traded
- 120
- Open portfolio
- $6.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded120
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 21? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.925 | $6.37 | −$0.17 |
| Miami Marlins vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5 · Over | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Will Qarabag win on 2025-09-16? · No | 0.940 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$140.00 |
| Will Union St. Gilloise win on 2025-09-16? · No | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$120.00 |
| Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) · Athletics | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Athletics vs. Pirates · Athletics | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$65.00 |
| Athletics vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5 · Over | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Galatasaray win on 2025-09-18? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.67 |
| World Cup game relocated away from Mexico? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$66.28at 0.430Marlins vs. Rangers
- +$63.93at 0.610Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)
- +$60.00at 0.500San Diego Padres vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5
- +$60.00at 0.500Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)
- +$58.73at 0.630Will Monaco win on 2025-09-18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 12:13 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on October 16? | BUY | 0.9809999984 | $7.49 |
| 10-16 12:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 21? | BUY | 0.95 | $6.54 |
| 10-11 14:13 | Real Racing Club vs. Valencia CF: 1st Half O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.964 | $7.98 |
| 09-27 11:19 | Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 Portugal? | BUY | 0.9199999948 | $7.10 |
| 09-27 11:16 | Lions Team Total: O/U 12.5 | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 08-27 21:20 | Rams vs. Chargers: O/U 57.5 | BUY | 0.9399999961 | $4.84 |
| 08-27 21:18 | Will Pennsylvania have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week? | BUY | 0.9899999877 | $8.82 |
| 07-05 14:11 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 5? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 07-05 14:10 | Will a player representing Spain be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.988999999 | $5.00 |
| 06-28 20:34 | Will Recep Tayyip Erdogan attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony? | BUY | 0.9789999996 | $5.00 |
| 05-17 21:01 | Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS? | BUY | 0.998 | $12.00 |
| 04-18 16:57 | Will Paul Dans be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.9869999997 | $7.28 |
| 04-18 16:56 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9829999984 | $9.91 |
| 03-25 17:06 | Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.9939999995 | $8.00 |
| 03-16 17:06 | Pierce Brosnan announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.54 |