PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

win20260123

0xa7708b63be4dda915cb0f8cc30a482181d97c45c

Realised P&L
$460.72
Volume
$366.4k
Markets traded
835
Open portfolio
$39.97

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded835
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 18:09Will the lowest temperature in Jinan be 19°C on September 19?BUY0.999$5.00
09-18 16:20Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on September 19?BUY0.999$5.00
09-17 15:13Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on September 17?BUY0.999$5.00
09-17 15:03Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on September 17?BUY0.999$0.38
09-17 06:08Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C or below on September 17?BUY0.999$5.00
09-16 16:40Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?BUY0.999$4.90
09-15 12:31Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 15?SELL0.999$9.99
09-13 03:37Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C on September 13?BUY0.999$5.00
09-13 03:37Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C on September 13?BUY0.999$5.00
09-12 14:42Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 12?BUY0.999$2.55
09-12 14:42Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 12?BUY0.999$5.00
09-12 14:18Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on September 12?BUY0.999$5.00
09-12 14:18Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on September 12?BUY0.999$5.00
09-11 23:08Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 17°C on September 12?BUY0.999$5.00
09-11 23:08Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 17°C on September 12?BUY0.999$5.00