win20260123
0xa7708b63be4dda915cb0f8cc30a482181d97c45c
- Realised P&L
- $460.72
- Volume
- $366.4k
- Markets traded
- 835
- Open portfolio
- $39.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded835
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 19? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $5.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 19? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $5.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 18°C on September 19? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $5.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C or higher on September 19? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $5.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on September 19? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $5.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Jinan be 19°C on September 19? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $5.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on September 19? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $5.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C or higher on September 19? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $4.99 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$133.51at 0.678Valorant: DRX vs VARREL (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffs
- +$77.93at 0.740LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner
- +$77.40at 0.650LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner
- +$74.45at 0.540LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stage
- +$73.42at 0.740Will Gaziantep FK vs. Trabzonspor end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 18:09 | Will the lowest temperature in Jinan be 19°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 16:20 | Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 15:13 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 15:03 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $0.38 |
| 09-17 06:08 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C or below on September 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 16:40 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.90 |
| 09-15 12:31 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 15? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 09-13 03:37 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C on September 13? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 03:37 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C on September 13? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 14:42 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.55 |
| 09-12 14:42 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 14:18 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on September 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 14:18 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on September 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-11 23:08 | Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 17°C on September 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-11 23:08 | Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 17°C on September 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |