SignalDesck
0xa76bde4c6b04ce8d51c79af60adc7727738e1d04
- Realised P&L
- $-5.90
- Volume
- $698.21
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $17.23
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration46.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican Senate odds dip to 25% by October 31? · Yes | 0.394 | 0.350 | $9.80 | −$1.24 |
| Will RNI get the second-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.755 | $4.65 | +$1.02 |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.310 | $2.77 | −$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.16at 0.190Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during their summit?
- +$1.20at 0.660Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
- +$0.31at 0.730Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during their summit?
- +$0.19at 0.570Juventus FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Score
- +$0.19at 0.530Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-09-23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 05:26 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 24, 2026? | SELL | 0.55 | $2.95 |