PolyBot

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0xa769E993d3744825c3F00886fdF8E6A196f1843E-1763559088814

0xa769e993d3744825c3f00886fdf8e6a196f1843e

Realised P&L
$-2.1k
Volume
$42.7k
Markets traded
88
Open portfolio
$109.94

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded88
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 8? · Yes0.3450.395$61.80+$7.84
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 8? · Yes0.4280.560$35.36+$8.36
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 8? · Yes0.4300.360$12.77$2.48
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 7? · Yes0.6200.001$0.02$27.98
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 3? · Yes0.3860.000$0.00$32.60
Will the highest temperature in London be between 42-43°F on November 22? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00$15.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 26? · Yes0.2660.000$0.00$180.00
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 3? · Yes0.3250.000$0.00$49.67
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 49-50°F on November 21? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$41.30
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 2? · Yes0.3770.000$0.00$20.00
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on July 31? · Yes0.2340.000$0.00$90.00
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 2? · Yes0.2690.000$0.00$20.56
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 2? · Yes0.2280.000$0.00$10.00
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 37°C on July 31? · Yes0.1330.000$0.00$20.00
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 31? · Yes0.3040.000$0.00$91.16

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-08 00:58Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 8?BUY0.4276463525$27.00
08-08 00:57Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 8?SELL0.388748$9.72
08-07 23:42Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 8?BUY0.4299999926$26.00
08-07 23:40Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 8?BUY0.3899999947$36.00
08-07 20:11Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 7?SELL0.8825433255$37.68
08-07 20:07Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 8?BUY0.2799999807$6.96
08-07 20:07Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 7?SELL0.88$7.04
08-07 20:03Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 8?BUY0.2799999837$11.00
08-07 20:03Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 7?SELL0.89$11.57
08-07 12:32Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 7?BUY0.5799999984$36.95
08-07 12:30Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 7?BUY0.619999996$28.00
08-06 19:11Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 6?SELL0.1440196464$7.33
08-06 19:11Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 6?SELL0.1826$9.13
08-06 14:22Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 6?BUY0.6$6.00
08-06 14:21Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 6?SELL0.0119230769$0.99