0xa769E993d3744825c3F00886fdF8E6A196f1843E-1763559088814
0xa769e993d3744825c3f00886fdf8e6a196f1843e
- Realised P&L
- $-2.1k
- Volume
- $42.7k
- Markets traded
- 88
- Open portfolio
- $109.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded88
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$234.38at 0.393Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on July 24?
- +$82.33at 0.267Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 2?
- +$46.35at 0.350Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 31?
- +$33.32at 0.540Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Diana Shnaider
- +$32.35at 0.659Naples: Daniel Altmaier vs Miguel Damas
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 00:58 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.4276463525 | $27.00 |
| 08-08 00:57 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.388748 | $9.72 |
| 08-07 23:42 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.4299999926 | $26.00 |
| 08-07 23:40 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.3899999947 | $36.00 |
| 08-07 20:11 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 7? | SELL | 0.8825433255 | $37.68 |
| 08-07 20:07 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.2799999807 | $6.96 |
| 08-07 20:07 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 7? | SELL | 0.88 | $7.04 |
| 08-07 20:03 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.2799999837 | $11.00 |
| 08-07 20:03 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 7? | SELL | 0.89 | $11.57 |
| 08-07 12:32 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 7? | BUY | 0.5799999984 | $36.95 |
| 08-07 12:30 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 7? | BUY | 0.619999996 | $28.00 |
| 08-06 19:11 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 6? | SELL | 0.1440196464 | $7.33 |
| 08-06 19:11 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 6? | SELL | 0.1826 | $9.13 |
| 08-06 14:22 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.6 | $6.00 |
| 08-06 14:21 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.0119230769 | $0.99 |