PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xa769E993d3744825c3F00886fdF8E6A196f1843E-1763559088814

0xa769e993d3744825c3f00886fdf8e6a196f1843e

Realised P&L
$-2.4k
Volume
$49.8k
Markets traded
130
Open portfolio
$124.21

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded130
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration93.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 27? · Yes0.4300.555$115.59+$25.98
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 27? · Yes0.1310.057$8.63−$11.37
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 3? · Yes0.3860.000$0.00−$32.60
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 8? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00−$15.25
Will the highest temperature in London be between 42-43°F on November 22? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00−$15.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 26? · Yes0.2660.000$0.00−$180.00
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 3? · Yes0.3250.000$0.00−$49.67
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 10? · Yes0.3530.000$0.00−$12.00
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 10? · Yes0.0000.000$0.00+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 49-50°F on November 21? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00−$41.30
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 2? · Yes0.3770.000$0.00−$20.00
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on July 31? · Yes0.2340.000$0.00−$90.00
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 2? · Yes0.2690.000$0.00−$20.56
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 2? · Yes0.2280.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 9? · Yes0.5140.000$0.00−$36.77

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 21:58Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 27?BUY0.4373757448$25.00
09-26 21:57Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 27?BUY0.1705974829$5.00
09-26 21:57Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 27?BUY0.1283582085$10.00
09-26 21:56Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 27?BUY0.4261239593$4.61
09-26 21:56Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 27?BUY0.424386895$30.00
09-26 21:56Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 27?BUY0.4367245614$20.00
09-26 21:55Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 27?BUY0.1099268327$5.00
09-26 21:55Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 27?BUY0.4199999966$10.00
09-26 21:50Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 26?SELL0.001$0.15
09-26 21:49Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 26?SELL0.991$149.54
09-26 13:45Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 26?BUY0.5499999505$4.44
09-26 13:45Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 26?BUY0.5563942932$15.00
09-26 13:45Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 26?BUY0.5499999853$15.00
09-26 13:44Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 26?BUY0.5581395349$15.00
09-26 13:43Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 26?BUY0.5581395349$15.00