0xa769E993d3744825c3F00886fdF8E6A196f1843E-1763559088814
0xa769e993d3744825c3f00886fdf8e6a196f1843e
- Realised P&L
- $-2.4k
- Volume
- $49.8k
- Markets traded
- 130
- Open portfolio
- $124.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded130
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$224.96at 0.405Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on July 24?
- +$111.08at 0.254Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 26?
- +$81.23at 0.277Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 2?
- +$78.02at 0.792Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 30?
- +$67.19at 0.493Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 21:58 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.4373757448 | $25.00 |
| 09-26 21:57 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.1705974829 | $5.00 |
| 09-26 21:57 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.1283582085 | $10.00 |
| 09-26 21:56 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.4261239593 | $4.61 |
| 09-26 21:56 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.424386895 | $30.00 |
| 09-26 21:56 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.4367245614 | $20.00 |
| 09-26 21:55 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.1099268327 | $5.00 |
| 09-26 21:55 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $10.00 |
| 09-26 21:50 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 26? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.15 |
| 09-26 21:49 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 26? | SELL | 0.991 | $149.54 |
| 09-26 13:45 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.5499999505 | $4.44 |
| 09-26 13:45 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.5563942932 | $15.00 |
| 09-26 13:45 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.5499999853 | $15.00 |
| 09-26 13:44 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.5581395349 | $15.00 |
| 09-26 13:43 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.5581395349 | $15.00 |