PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

rat-race-harmony

0xa7699418757cc816fca2a73e8c2ecc5a6386c98e

Realised P&L
$19.25
Volume
$4.4k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$104.14

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration43.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration88.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election · Yes0.1301.000$92.30+$80.30
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.1801.000$11.27+$9.24
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? · Yes0.1700.019$0.57$4.43
Will Yoo Seong-min win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$0.81
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch? · Yes0.4230.000$0.00$20.00
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$2.00
Based FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$5.69
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET · Down0.4240.000$0.00$26.02
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$5.00
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
BitBoy convicted? · Yes0.6300.000$0.00$4.78

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-31 14:15Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETBUY0.3099999895$18.01
03-31 14:10Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETBUY0.6699999839$9.52
03-31 14:10Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETBUY0.5499999807$9.35
03-31 14:06Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETBUY0.209999974$4.43
03-31 14:05Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETBUY0.6799999946$9.54
03-31 14:04Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETBUY0.2449603491$13.37
03-31 14:02Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETBUY0.8699999791$19.63
03-31 14:01Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETBUY0.8899999947$9.84
03-31 13:58EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?SELL0.015$1.65
03-31 13:53Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?SELL0.032$0.16
03-31 13:52EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?BUY0.4226826796$20.00
03-31 13:49EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.219909791$9.99
03-31 12:02Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?SELL0.002$0.22
03-31 11:56Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.005$0.50
03-31 11:56Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.005$1.25