trad97
0xa76989ac1c2f9666ab30af863e47f532a41e8a2a
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $58.2k
- Markets traded
- 286
- Open portfolio
- $62.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded286
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$428.34at 0.651Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$121.21at 0.158Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$77.15at 0.172Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?
- +$77.09at 0.200Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
- +$76.38at 0.467Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 08:07 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.24 | $3.00 |
| 10-05 03:44 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.0899999928 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 03:44 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.2199999941 | $3.00 |
| 09-22 10:41 | Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 10:41 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.2299999993 | $10.00 |
| 09-19 01:23 | Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.12 | $9.23 |
| 09-19 01:23 | Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | SELL | 0.27 | $6.75 |
| 09-09 07:19 | Will Roma win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.008 | $1.60 |
| 09-09 07:19 | Iran leadership change by November 30? | SELL | 0.08 | $2.40 |
| 09-09 07:19 | Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.14 |
| 08-30 09:46 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.47 | $15.16 |
| 08-28 08:34 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 10 and 15 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.6534653368 | $10.00 |
| 08-28 08:29 | Will Ethereum hit $4k by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.3599999938 | $30.00 |
| 08-28 08:28 | Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999696 | $4.00 |
| 08-28 06:18 | Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.04 | $5.00 |