PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

trad97

0xa76989ac1c2f9666ab30af863e47f532a41e8a2a

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$58.2k
Markets traded
286
Open portfolio
$62.07

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded286
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum hit $4k by September 30, 2027? · Yes0.3600.300$25.00−$5.00
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.2280.235$13.42+$0.42
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0900.055$12.83−$8.17
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1600.135$8.44−$1.56
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0400.019$2.38−$2.63
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1670.000$0.00−$21.36
Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$5.00
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1910.000$0.00−$17.50
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00−$11.50
Will Netherlands reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0820.000$0.00−$27.75
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-18? · Yes0.6270.000$0.00−$10.00
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 10 and 15 million views on day 1? · Yes0.6530.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0390.000$0.00−$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-07 08:07Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 October 5-11?BUY0.24$3.00
10-05 03:44Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.0899999928$1.00
10-05 03:44Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.2199999941$3.00
09-22 10:41Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.16$10.00
09-22 10:41Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.2299999993$10.00
09-19 01:23Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.12$9.23
09-19 01:23Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?SELL0.27$6.75
09-09 07:19Will Roma win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.008$1.60
09-09 07:19Iran leadership change by November 30?SELL0.08$2.40
09-09 07:19Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?SELL0.08$1.14
08-30 09:46Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.47$15.16
08-28 08:34Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 10 and 15 million views on day 1?BUY0.6534653368$10.00
08-28 08:29Will Ethereum hit $4k by September 30, 2027?BUY0.3599999938$30.00
08-28 08:28Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 15, 2026?BUY0.3799999696$4.00
08-28 06:18Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.04$5.00