0xa760784d7ee2fa86f032599a5adca350ac9c259a
0xa760784d7ee2fa86f032599a5adca350ac9c259a
- Realised P&L
- $-134.51
- Volume
- $142.4k
- Markets traded
- 107
- Open portfolio
- $38.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded107
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.21at 0.075Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
- +$11.54at 0.354Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
- +$8.47at 0.235Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22?
- +$4.88at 0.141Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 22?
- +$3.82at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 16:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 1? | BUY | 0.001 | $26.00 |
| 10-31 16:51 | Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $50.00 |
| 10-23 09:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 23? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.09 |
| 10-22 03:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 22? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.09 |
| 10-21 00:19 | Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.09 |
| 10-20 08:48 | Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 10-19 11:58 | Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.06 |
| 10-18 03:55 | Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.06 |
| 10-15 07:18 | Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.06 |
| 10-14 03:16 | Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.06 |
| 10-13 15:00 | Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.06 |
| 10-12 04:38 | Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 06:23 | Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 07:59 | Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 05:40 | Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |