diamondhands-420
0xa75ccd199e8de04ce680f228e9f3c12413e93ade
- Realised P&L
- $-935.45
- Volume
- $272.4k
- Markets traded
- 382
- Open portfolio
- $4.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded382
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 0%-10%? · No | 0.950 | 0.945 | $4.76 | −$0.03 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals · Baltimore Orioles | 0.645 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.83 |
| Stars vs. Wild · Wild | 0.543 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.99 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.148 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24? · Yes | 0.539 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) · 76ers | 0.511 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.07 |
| Lakers vs. Rockets · Rockets | 0.654 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.82 |
| Athletics vs. Texas Rangers · Texas Rangers | 0.552 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.97 |
| Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5) · Golden Knights | 0.447 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.25 |
| Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5 · Over | 0.489 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.12 |
| Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.539 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28? · No | 0.566 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.95 |
| Pistons vs. Magic · Pistons | 0.561 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.95 |
| Celtics vs. 76ers · 76ers | 0.404 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.46 |
| Spread: Rockets (-4.5) · Rockets | 0.539 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.64at 0.536Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
- +$8.71at 0.411Solana ETF approved by July 31?
- +$8.33at 0.010Kai and iShowSpeed beat Super Mario Bros by noon Thursday?
- +$7.29at 0.120Will Andrew Cuomo win Queens in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
- +$5.12at 0.521Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 218.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 19:20 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 20%-25%? | SELL | 0.9 | $4.52 |
| 09-08 17:31 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 40% or more? | SELL | 0.86 | $4.33 |
| 09-06 04:32 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000? | SELL | 0.99 | $4.97 |
| 08-28 02:56 | Will Jeff Beattie win the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election? | SELL | 0.66 | $5.07 |
| 08-27 00:06 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 27? | SELL | 0.74 | $3.70 |
| 08-26 09:11 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 26? | SELL | 0.42 | $2.13 |
| 08-26 07:57 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026? | SELL | 0.42 | $2.15 |
| 08-26 01:38 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.05 |
| 08-26 01:35 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 26? | BUY | 0.6799999519 | $3.39 |
| 08-26 01:34 | Will Heino Doessing win the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election? | SELL | 0.86 | $5.44 |
| 08-26 00:59 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 26? | BUY | 0.4699999312 | $2.39 |
| 08-26 00:57 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 26? | SELL | 0.38 | $1.93 |
| 08-26 00:44 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 27? | BUY | 0.4399999431 | $3.71 |
| 08-26 00:44 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 27? | BUY | 0.76 | $3.80 |
| 08-26 00:38 | Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.307 | $1.53 |