PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

diamondhands-420

0xa75ccd199e8de04ce680f228e9f3c12413e93ade

Realised P&L
$-935.45
Volume
$272.4k
Markets traded
382
Open portfolio
$4.76

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded382
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 0%-10%? · No0.9500.945$4.76$0.03
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals · Baltimore Orioles0.6450.000$0.00$0.83
Stars vs. Wild · Wild0.5430.000$0.00$0.99
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.1480.000$0.00$1.00
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24? · Yes0.5390.000$0.00$1.00
Spread: Celtics (-6.5) · 76ers0.5110.000$0.00$1.07
Lakers vs. Rockets · Rockets0.6540.000$0.00$0.82
Athletics vs. Texas Rangers · Texas Rangers0.5520.000$0.00$0.97
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5) · Golden Knights0.4470.000$0.00$1.25
Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5 · Over0.4890.000$0.00$1.12
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) · Los Angeles Dodgers0.5390.000$0.00$1.00
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28? · No0.5660.000$0.00$0.95
Pistons vs. Magic · Pistons0.5610.000$0.00$0.95
Celtics vs. 76ers · 76ers0.4040.000$0.00$1.46
Spread: Rockets (-4.5) · Rockets0.5390.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-08 19:20Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 20%-25%?SELL0.9$4.52
09-08 17:31Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 40% or more?SELL0.86$4.33
09-06 04:32Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?SELL0.99$4.97
08-28 02:56Will Jeff Beattie win the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election?SELL0.66$5.07
08-27 00:06Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 27?SELL0.74$3.70
08-26 09:11Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 26?SELL0.42$2.13
08-26 07:57Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?SELL0.42$2.15
08-26 01:38Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?BUY0.4$2.05
08-26 01:35Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 26?BUY0.6799999519$3.39
08-26 01:34Will Heino Doessing win the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election?SELL0.86$5.44
08-26 00:59Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 26?BUY0.4699999312$2.39
08-26 00:57Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 26?SELL0.38$1.93
08-26 00:44Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 27?BUY0.4399999431$3.71
08-26 00:44Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 27?BUY0.76$3.80
08-26 00:38Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?SELL0.307$1.53