HEROISONOLENTO
0xa75b5a2b6c90a91479f2a67615320a575d59da07
- Realised P&L
- $-3.14
- Volume
- $3.6k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $0.69
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration85.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.625 | $0.69 | −$0.31 |
| Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by May 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Putin visit China by May 31? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Trump kiss by May 31? · No | 0.564 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.19at 0.960Trump kiss by May 31?
- +$0.53at 0.940Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by May 31, 2026?
- +$0.12at 0.890Will Evil Morty appear in Rick and Morty: Season 9?
- +$0.06at 0.900Anthropic vs Meta — higher valuation on June 30?
- +$-0.00at 0.993Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-29 12:46 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.69 |
| 05-28 15:39 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 05-28 15:38 | Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 05-28 15:37 | Anthropic vs Meta — higher valuation on June 30? | SELL | 0.95 | $1.05 |
| 05-21 13:06 | Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $1.01 |
| 05-20 17:18 | Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 05-20 17:16 | Anthropic vs Meta — higher valuation on June 30? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 05-20 17:13 | Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.63 |
| 05-20 17:13 | Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22? | SELL | 0.014 | $0.38 |
| 05-20 17:12 | Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.10 |
| 05-20 16:40 | Trump kiss by May 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.04 |
| 05-20 15:00 | Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 05-20 15:00 | Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $1.06 |
| 05-20 14:59 | Trump kiss by May 31? | BUY | 0.5649999152 | $1.00 |
| 05-20 14:59 | Trump kiss by May 31? | SELL | 0.564 | $1.25 |