BoldiOldi
0xa7556ee848ff1eed9ad189487de16d3affd46c5b
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $42.0k
- Markets traded
- 333
- Open portfolio
- $60.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded333
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$481.13at 0.015Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 15?
- +$305.22at 0.027Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C or below on August 15?
- +$266.25at 0.270Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 17?
- +$197.80at 0.098Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 17?
- +$183.43at 0.396Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 20:27 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.59 | $3.54 |
| 10-12 20:09 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.8099999718 | $17.22 |
| 10-12 19:27 | Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 10-12 19:27 | Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.4866666667 | $7.30 |
| 10-12 19:26 | Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.5181509987 | $28.28 |
| 10-12 19:25 | Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.428 | $10.70 |
| 10-12 17:00 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.40 |
| 10-12 17:00 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.2259610714 | $4.14 |
| 10-12 16:00 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 13? | BUY | 0.669999988 | $15.64 |
| 10-12 15:19 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.39 | $3.12 |
| 10-12 14:13 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on October 14? | BUY | 0.2949940317 | $3.30 |
| 10-12 07:06 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.43 | $3.01 |
| 10-12 06:16 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.3602630972 | $1.85 |
| 10-11 18:00 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.47 |
| 08-19 05:45 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 19? | BUY | 0.0750617284 | $3.04 |