PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

BoldiOldi

0xa7556ee848ff1eed9ad189487de16d3affd46c5b

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$42.0k
Markets traded
333
Open portfolio
$60.71

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded333
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 13? · No0.8100.875$18.60+$1.38
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 13? · Yes0.6700.720$16.81+$1.17
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on October 14? · No0.2950.705$7.89+$4.59
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 13? · Yes0.4300.605$4.24+$1.23
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 13? · Yes0.5900.610$3.66+$0.12
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 14? · Yes0.2260.185$3.39−$0.75
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 14? · Yes0.3900.385$3.08−$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 14? · Yes0.2400.175$1.75−$0.65
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 13? · Yes0.3600.240$1.23−$0.62
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 12? · No0.4960.001$0.06−$59.27
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 12? · Yes0.2000.001$0.00−$1.47
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 15? · Yes0.2040.000$0.00−$22.51
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 12? · Yes0.0000.000$0.00+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 17? · Yes0.3780.000$0.00−$28.89
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 16? · Yes0.1320.000$0.00−$1.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 20:27Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 13?BUY0.59$3.54
10-12 20:09Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 13?BUY0.8099999718$17.22
10-12 19:27Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 12?BUY0.49$2.45
10-12 19:27Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 12?BUY0.4866666667$7.30
10-12 19:26Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 12?BUY0.5181509987$28.28
10-12 19:25Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 12?BUY0.428$10.70
10-12 17:00Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 14?BUY0.24$2.40
10-12 17:00Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 14?BUY0.2259610714$4.14
10-12 16:00Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 13?BUY0.669999988$15.64
10-12 15:19Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 14?BUY0.39$3.12
10-12 14:13Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on October 14?BUY0.2949940317$3.30
10-12 07:06Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 13?BUY0.43$3.01
10-12 06:16Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 13?BUY0.3602630972$1.85
10-11 18:00Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 12?BUY0.2$1.47
08-19 05:45Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 19?BUY0.0750617284$3.04