BoldiOldi
0xa7556ee848ff1eed9ad189487de16d3affd46c5b
- Realised P&L
- $8.57
- Volume
- $532.96
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $232.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration37.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 6? · No | 0.792 | 0.860 | $85.96 | +$6.81 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 6? · No | 0.740 | 0.999 | $84.87 | +$21.97 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 5? · No | 0.800 | 0.485 | $48.50 | −$31.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.240 | $4.93 | +$3.70 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.075 | $3.75 | +$0.75 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 6? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.205 | $2.05 | +$1.55 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 6? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.035 | $1.65 | −$0.71 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.007 | $0.34 | −$2.61 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 04:08 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.74 | $74.00 |