PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

oWayne

0xa753d129bf9af2249fe1f6a2216cf4247508ef10

Realised P&L
$74.13
Volume
$1.7k
Markets traded
462
Open portfolio
$45.42

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded462
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 19? · Yes0.9500.987$20.77+$0.77
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 19? · Yes0.7800.983$19.66+$4.06
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 19? · Yes0.9200.983$4.48+$0.28
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18? · Yes0.8940.023$0.51−$19.49
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 17? · Yes0.8200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 12? · Yes0.8900.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 30? · Yes0.8300.000$0.00−$4.00
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 28? · Yes0.7900.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 14? · Yes0.8300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 13? · Yes0.7700.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on October 6? · Yes0.8490.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 26? · Yes0.8600.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 2? · Yes0.9600.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 19? · Yes0.9000.000$0.00−$9.72
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 17? · Yes0.8000.000$0.00−$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-19 23:14Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on October 19?BUY0.9796081562$20.00
10-19 22:04Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 19?BUY0.95$20.00
10-19 21:33Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 19?BUY0.9$9.72
10-19 14:19Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 19?BUY0.92$4.20
10-19 14:01Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 19?BUY0.78$15.60
10-18 22:31Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 18?BUY0.8299999842$20.00
10-18 15:05Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 18?BUY0.9599999693$20.00
10-18 14:08Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?BUY0.8939999977$20.00
10-18 12:02Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 18?BUY0.95$20.00
10-17 22:04Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on October 17?BUY0.8499999957$20.00
10-17 22:03Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 68-69°F on October 17?BUY0.9009900981$20.00
10-17 14:04Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 17?BUY0.9596209495$20.00
10-17 13:06Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 17?BUY0.8779999947$20.00
10-16 22:50Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on October 16?BUY0.8225966234$20.00
10-16 21:18Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 16?BUY0.952037661$9.96