PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

cheese77

0xa74eb068a2d0eaa32fce77e729fa346bd229953c

Realised P&L
$-64.82
Volume
$138.7k
Markets traded
300
Open portfolio
$25.56

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded300
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration5.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.4100.537$6.55+$1.55
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2200.115$5.23$4.77
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September? · Yes0.0130.010$3.85$1.15
Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.140$3.50+$0.50
Will three people dissent the September Fed decision? · Yes0.2100.120$2.86$2.14
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in September? · Yes0.1230.055$2.24$2.76
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.2090.046$1.34$4.66
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5 · Over0.7700.000$0.00$5.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.6150.000$0.00$20.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 17? · No0.0010.000$0.00$4.00
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 19? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00$0.50
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,300 on June 17? · No0.0010.000$0.00$2.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 27? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$10.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00$1.40
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5 · Over0.4900.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 11:59Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?BUY0.013$5.00
09-13 11:59Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in September?BUY0.1226415087$5.00
09-13 11:56Will three people dissent the September Fed decision?BUY0.2099999983$5.00
09-13 11:55Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.2199999974$10.00
08-05 15:39Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.16$3.00
08-03 12:02Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.3$3.00
07-28 06:21Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 28?BUY0.0519999842$3.00
07-28 06:21Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 28?BUY0.7399999457$3.00
07-26 23:04Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.12$3.00
07-26 23:02Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 27?BUY0.0110000001$3.00
07-26 23:02Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 27?BUY0.1099999685$3.00
07-26 23:02Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 27?BUY0.1188799123$5.00
07-26 23:01Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 27?BUY0.0110000001$3.00
07-26 23:01Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 27?BUY0.08$3.00
07-26 23:01Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 27?BUY0.0219633945$3.00