jonhhywalker
0xa74de4808b71f29ea5b818d02b3684b67b6bb6ee
- Realised P&L
- $-6.06
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $33.89
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana reach $130 in October? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.580 | $5.80 | −$0.60 |
| Will Solana dip to $110 in October? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.540 | $5.40 | −$0.20 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.265 | $5.30 | −$0.50 |
| Will Solana reach $180 in October? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.022 | $5.29 | +$0.12 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.425 | $4.25 | −$0.15 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.415 | $4.15 | +$0.75 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.185 | $3.70 | −$1.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.48at 0.129Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 28-October 4?
- +$-10.98at 0.092Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 28-October 4?
- +$-14.55at 0.055Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 21-27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 11:19 | Will Solana reach $130 in October? | BUY | 0.64 | $6.40 |
| 10-03 14:32 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 28-October 4? | SELL | 0.014 | $2.38 |
| 10-02 07:20 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? | BUY | 0.29 | $5.80 |