0xa74d18ea2cfbbc54b83d1aada3a8810bb5568daf
0xa74d18ea2cfbbc54b83d1aada3a8810bb5568daf
- Realised P&L
- $-4.83
- Volume
- $405.32
- Markets traded
- 94
- Open portfolio
- $0.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded94
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $167.50 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.115 | $0.36 | −$0.64 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.01at 0.229Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
- +$7.01at 0.229Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
- +$6.26at 0.249Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.8% and 1.6%?
- +$5.92at 0.259Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?
- +$3.49at 0.371Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 00:03 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $167.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 13:48 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 13:46 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 05:44 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 04:34 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 05:27 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 20:12 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 10:36 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 22:38 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 13:44 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 13:27 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399996448 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 05:24 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 20:52 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 11:07 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 01:09 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |