Adrian.balan.cristian
0xa747f0e8f668fb772940c0f54fde91c3f308ae36
- Realised P&L
- $-758.58
- Volume
- $5.3k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $505.92
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-14.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.125 | $406.25 | −$633.75 |
| Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.142 | 0.055 | $99.67 | −$157.33 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET · Down | 0.356 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$52.50at 0.059Government shutdown on Saturday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-13 13:53 | Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1299999982 | $57.00 |
| 02-13 13:52 | Government shutdown on Saturday? | SELL | 0.718 | $57.20 |
| 02-12 22:00 | Government shutdown on Saturday? | BUY | 0.0589999889 | $4.70 |
| 02-12 21:59 | Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1455868972 | $200.00 |
| 02-12 21:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $9.91 |
| 02-12 21:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | BUY | 0.1584158416 | $4.96 |
| 02-12 21:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | BUY | 0.2599999646 | $4.91 |
| 02-06 23:04 | Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.32 | $520.00 |
| 02-06 22:08 | Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.32 | $520.00 |