0xA746960101f003f7B2828370D1fCfF48642f2B0A-1775521887854
0xa746960101f003f7b2828370d1fcff48642f2b0a
- Realised P&L
- $-79.39
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $2.41
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? · Yes | 0.069 | 0.026 | $1.87 | −$3.13 |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.007 | $0.54 | −$9.46 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? · No | 0.780 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.39at 0.230Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
- +$6.98at 0.417Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?
- +$4.30at 0.537Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?
- +$0.41at 0.940Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?
- +$-5.00at 0.235Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-14 20:49 | Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal? | BUY | 0.1 | $7.79 |
| 04-14 20:49 | Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal? | SELL | 0.992 | $7.79 |
| 04-14 20:33 | Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal? | BUY | 0.3799999802 | $4.99 |
| 04-14 20:30 | Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal? | SELL | 0.0448933489 | $4.99 |
| 04-14 19:41 | Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal? | BUY | 0.94 | $7.38 |
| 04-14 19:41 | Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal? | BUY | 0.0899999919 | $10.00 |
| 04-14 19:40 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | SELL | 0.8 | $17.38 |
| 04-10 21:19 | Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.0679999987 | $45.68 |
| 04-07 17:14 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | BUY | 0.2299999692 | $5.00 |
| 04-07 17:14 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | BUY | 0.7799999813 | $5.00 |
| 04-07 17:13 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.005 | $10.00 |
| 04-07 16:49 | Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.2799999731 | $4.78 |
| 04-07 16:43 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08? | BUY | 0.64 | $9.78 |
| 04-07 16:30 | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999888 | $10.00 |
| 04-07 16:30 | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? | BUY | 0.0694444444 | $5.00 |