0xa7411fa6c34662391e3aecabc050c894edfbb506
0xa7411fa6c34662391e3aecabc050c894edfbb506
- Realised P&L
- $-8.47
- Volume
- $261.09
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $4.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $84 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.925 | $1.16 | +$0.16 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.450 | $1.10 | +$0.10 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? · No | 0.590 | 0.595 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.690 | $0.90 | −$0.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.03at 0.319SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10?
- +$4.80at 0.329Will Trump say "Endorse" or "Endorsed" or "Endorsement" during RNC Convention?
- +$3.24at 0.420Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
- +$2.53at 0.480Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $284 Week of August 10 2026?
- +$1.99at 0.540Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $335 Week of August 17 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 05:00 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699995842 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 04:03 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899997404 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 15:28 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:30 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $84 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 08:07 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 00:06 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on October 2? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 10:48 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 22:13 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 08:27 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 00:27 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 in September? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 15:57 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 19:42 | Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.5999999476 | $2.29 |
| 09-23 19:40 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $502.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999399 | $2.29 |
| 09-21 22:14 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999497 | $2.29 |
| 09-21 14:13 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.739999963 | $1.20 |