Jjjj.
0xa740f1311b065c4119c95069b2e6b53421cdee18
- Realised P&L
- $-19.7k
- Volume
- $280.2k
- Markets traded
- 171
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded171
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$915.00at 0.085Will the price of Bitcoin be above $118,000 on October 2?
- +$752.90at 0.502Will Bitcoin reach $126k in October?
- +$565.41at 0.497Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5
- +$559.00at 0.255Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on September 29?
- +$544.70at 0.597United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 16:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 09-16 15:29 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.12 | $36.00 |
| 09-16 15:29 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.008 | $26.59 |
| 09-14 04:02 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $175.00 |
| 09-11 10:41 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.39 | $195.00 |
| 09-04 10:01 | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $320.00 |
| 09-04 10:00 | Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $207.15 |
| 09-04 10:00 | Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $25.55 |
| 09-04 09:59 | Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $11.04 |
| 09-04 09:57 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in September? | BUY | 0.23 | $113.85 |
| 09-04 09:57 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in September? | BUY | 0.23 | $113.85 |
| 09-04 09:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.45 | $225.00 |
| 09-04 09:56 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $200.88 |
| 09-04 09:56 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $66.00 |
| 09-04 09:49 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | BUY | 0.29 | $232.00 |