phenixzhou
0xa73dca358a47906a009bbd4c8c2d6d00a7610ed5
- Realised P&L
- $-10.25
- Volume
- $107.50
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $10.31
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.495 | $10.31 | +$0.31 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 30? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.85at 0.315Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 06:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1? | SELL | 0.51 | $34.00 |
| 10-01 03:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.2999999985 | $20.00 |
| 09-30 14:19 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $10.00 |
| 09-29 13:05 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |