jusmultifruits
0xa73bf5a04e17603db4d5288960e67800882ae961
- Realised P&L
- $-18.33
- Volume
- $607.98
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $85.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on September 18? · No | 0.840 | 0.820 | $17.30 | −$0.42 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 18? · No | 0.900 | 0.975 | $15.50 | +$1.19 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 19? · No | 0.800 | 0.840 | $14.10 | +$0.67 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 13? · No | 0.870 | 1.000 | $13.24 | +$1.72 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 19? · No | 0.860 | 0.845 | $13.23 | −$0.23 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C or higher on September 18? · No | 0.820 | 0.970 | $12.17 | +$1.88 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.22at 0.808Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 16?
- +$2.64at 0.847Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 16?
- +$2.12at 0.856Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 13?
- +$1.94at 0.885Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 14?
- +$1.59at 0.808Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 16:43 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.8599999936 | $13.47 |
| 09-17 16:42 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.61 | $11.44 |
| 09-17 12:04 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.8 | $13.43 |
| 09-17 12:03 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.99 | $7.03 |
| 09-17 09:25 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.8399999962 | $17.72 |
| 09-17 09:23 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.99 | $8.40 |
| 09-17 06:26 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.8199999957 | $15.38 |
| 09-17 06:25 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.58 | $10.29 |
| 09-17 00:42 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.9 | $14.31 |
| 09-17 00:41 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on September 17? | SELL | 0.61 | $7.52 |
| 09-16 18:55 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C or higher on September 18? | BUY | 0.8199999888 | $10.29 |
| 09-16 18:54 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 16? | SELL | 0.99 | $18.32 |
| 09-16 18:35 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.8 | $14.20 |
| 09-16 18:35 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on September 17? | BUY | 0.8399999968 | $10.36 |
| 09-16 18:35 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.8399999246 | $7.13 |