oneheadedlebron
0xa73a1952f1f0d94aeb396ffdaf7e111a8eab656a
- Realised P&L
- $-14.4k
- Volume
- $7.19M
- Markets traded
- 898
- Open portfolio
- $838.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded898
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees · New York Yankees | 0.550 | 0.595 | $297.49 | +$22.50 |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds · Cincinnati Reds | 0.530 | 0.560 | $280.00 | +$15.00 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.570 | 0.575 | $172.50 | +$1.50 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees · Boston Red Sox | 0.466 | 0.530 | $87.45 | +$10.56 |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles · Baltimore Orioles | 0.440 | 0.001 | $1.01 | −$445.15 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox · Baltimore Orioles | 0.465 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$277.59 |
| San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves · San Diego Padres | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.52 |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubs · Chicago Cubs | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$313.23 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds · Baltimore Orioles | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.50 |
| Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers · Milwaukee Brewers | 0.705 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$879.98 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates · Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$283.59 |
| Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals · St. Louis Cardinals | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.00 |
| Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox · Washington Nationals | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$42.56 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$42.75 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels · Baltimore Orioles | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.76 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.4kat 0.418Hawks vs. Knicks
- +$13.6kat 0.508Warriors vs. Clippers
- +$10.7kat 0.133Mavericks vs. Suns
- +$10.6kat 0.099Magic vs. 76ers
- +$8.9kat 0.07876ers vs. Pacers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 04:20 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.57 | $171.00 |
| 08-04 01:17 | San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | BUY | 0.5 | $93.50 |
| 08-04 01:15 | San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | BUY | 0.5 | $144.50 |
| 08-04 01:14 | San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | BUY | 0.5 | $144.50 |
| 08-04 01:13 | San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | BUY | 0.5 | $150.00 |
| 08-03 23:47 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.57 | $77.52 |
| 08-03 23:46 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.57 | $83.22 |
| 08-03 23:43 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.57 | $89.49 |
| 08-03 23:43 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.57 | $98.61 |
| 08-03 23:37 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | 0.58 | $168.78 |
| 08-03 23:36 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | 0.58 | $174.00 |
| 08-03 22:35 | San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers | BUY | 0.54 | $93.42 |
| 08-03 22:33 | San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers | BUY | 0.54 | $104.76 |
| 08-03 22:33 | San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers | BUY | 0.54 | $122.58 |
| 08-03 22:13 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.55 | $107.25 |