AZXFR404
0xa7337d02a7c948c3e38a5d34eebcdbebf748c1c8
- Realised P&L
- $118.19
- Volume
- $36.4k
- Markets traded
- 111
- Open portfolio
- $33.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded111
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 September 28-October 4? · No | 0.979 | 0.979 | $33.18 | −$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$78.00at 0.400Lakers vs. Hawks
- +$3.21at 0.916Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7?
- +$1.59at 0.951Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
- +$1.38at 0.910Will Ethereum reach $4200 in July?
- +$1.28at 0.955Will Ethereum reach $3,300 September 21-27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 04:36 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.9789999995 | $33.20 |
| 09-28 01:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.9849999998 | $32.70 |
| 09-27 14:29 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 27? | BUY | 0.9924393476 | $32.50 |
| 09-25 08:35 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.9809999999 | $32.10 |
| 09-18 11:40 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.9759999979 | $30.10 |
| 09-15 03:09 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on September 14? | BUY | 0.994 | $30.00 |
| 09-12 06:12 | Will Solana reach $110 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.9689999993 | $35.20 |
| 09-11 02:05 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on September 10? | BUY | 0.9909999998 | $34.90 |
| 09-10 14:13 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on September 10? | BUY | 0.9889999999 | $34.50 |
| 09-09 02:07 | Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on September 8? | BUY | 0.992 | $34.30 |
| 09-08 15:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 8? | BUY | 0.9869999838 | $33.80 |
| 09-08 02:59 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on September 7? | BUY | 0.996 | $33.70 |
| 09-05 07:23 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 August 31-September 6? | BUY | 0.9859999997 | $33.30 |
| 08-31 14:04 | Will Solana reach $110 in August? | BUY | 0.98 | $32.70 |
| 08-30 12:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 August 24-30? | BUY | 0.9909999762 | $32.40 |