PolyBot

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Traders

0xa72bdfba24f2b2d008e16aff00f74a836d361e58

0xa72bdfba24f2b2d008e16aff00f74a836d361e58

Realised P&L
$133.76
Volume
$3.2k
Markets traded
39
Open portfolio
$7.92

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded39
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample34 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party win the MN-05 House seat? · Yes0.0600.024$4.77−$7.49
Will the Republican Party win the CA-18 House seat? · No0.9480.984$1.37+$0.05
Will the Republican Party win the IL-06 House seat? · Yes0.0670.015$0.86−$2.87
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-02 House seat? · No0.0600.013$0.49−$1.68
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-11 House seat? · No0.0800.015$0.43−$1.86
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? · No0.1100.000$0.00−$5.52
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00−$5.79

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-10 14:34Will the Democratic Party win the TX-24 House seat?SELL0.24$1.21
06-10 14:34Will the Democratic Party win the NY-16 House seat?SELL0.05$1.65
04-21 08:43Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?SELL0.4$22.01
04-21 08:43Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?SELL0.2768474282$28.74
04-21 08:43Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.09$3.10
04-21 08:43Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?SELL0.31$100.28
04-20 01:31Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?SELL0.945$2.18
04-20 01:31Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?SELL0.665$1.65
04-20 01:31US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?SELL0.82$4.08
04-20 01:31Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?SELL0.76$5.13
04-20 01:31Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?SELL0.92$9.63
04-20 01:31Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?SELL0.9666958525$10.49
04-20 01:30Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?SELL0.903$22.03
04-20 01:30Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?SELL0.051$1.31
04-20 01:30Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?SELL0.971$49.24