0xa7287a6e592851f62cbe2e1972c216de5723d96d
0xa7287a6e592851f62cbe2e1972c216de5723d96d
- Realised P&L
- $6.92
- Volume
- $331.99
- Markets traded
- 96
- Open portfolio
- $5.94
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded96
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $190 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.670 | $1.60 | +$0.60 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · No | 0.660 | 0.986 | $1.49 | +$0.49 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.850 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.240 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · No | 0.710 | 0.475 | $0.67 | −$0.33 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · No | 0.360 | 0.042 | $0.12 | −$0.88 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.46at 0.217Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $600 Week of August 3 2026?
- +$5.94at 0.258Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner?
- +$3.34at 0.382Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
- +$2.96at 0.259Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in August 2026?
- +$2.81at 0.270Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 11:06 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $190 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 15:06 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 07:00 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 21:52 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 10:16 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 02:16 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 17:29 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 17:40 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 08:30 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 07:01 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $690 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 23:01 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 00:27 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 04:26 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $64 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 20:26 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 11:16 | Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13? | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |