PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xa7279b47bcfe12f37fa818f096435ce2effd1e15

Realised P&L
$-11.50
Volume
$21.0k
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$10.50

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration45.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration95.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0010.001$10.00$9.98
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$0.50$0.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2AM ET · Up0.4000.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 20:36Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETSELL0.69$1.46
09-17 20:36Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETSELL0.4$1.18
09-17 20:35Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETBUY0.3399999388$1.00
09-17 20:34Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETBUY0.469999906$1.00
09-17 20:26Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETBUY0.4599997976$1.00
09-17 20:25Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETBUY0.4599997976$1.00
09-17 20:14Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETBUY0.5099998215$1.00
09-17 20:14Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETBUY0.5$1.00
09-15 07:11Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.001$1.00
09-15 07:11Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.001$17.00
09-15 07:10Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.001$1.00
09-15 07:09Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.001$1.00
09-15 06:46Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
09-15 06:13Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2AM ETBUY0.4$1.00