0xa7279b47bcfe12f37fa818f096435ce2effd1e15
- Realised P&L
- $-11.50
- Volume
- $21.0k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $10.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration45.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $10.00 | −$9.98 |
| Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2AM ET · Up | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.13at 0.482Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
- +$0.92at 0.532Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
- +$0.37at 0.492Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
- +$0.06at 0.359Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
- +$-1.04at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 20:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | SELL | 0.69 | $1.46 |
| 09-17 20:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | SELL | 0.4 | $1.18 |
| 09-17 20:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 20:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 20:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 20:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 20:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 20:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 07:11 | Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 07:11 | Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $17.00 |
| 09-15 07:10 | Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 07:09 | Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 06:46 | Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 06:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2AM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |