moun
0xa718a0d1b548ed1dc71835156b3e25ea95de06c4
- Realised P&L
- $-396.80
- Volume
- $10.1k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $569.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day? · Yes | 0.729 | 1.000 | $411.54 | +$111.54 |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? · Yes | 0.673 | 0.768 | $158.31 | +$19.59 |
| Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025? · Yes | 0.334 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale? · Yes | 0.318 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$121.00 |
| Will MEXC be accused of insider trading? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Over $1.3B committed to the MegaETH public sale? · No | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.00 |
| Will Moonshot be accused of insider trading? · Yes | 0.059 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will anyone audibly fart during Trump's WEF 2026 speech? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will GALBOT have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala? · No | 0.058 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.50 |
| Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.34at 0.867Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 17, 2026?
- +$11.94at 0.926Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?
- +$11.06at 0.876Ranger FDV above $15M one day after launch?
- +$8.01at 0.111Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
- +$7.49at 0.286MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-05 16:12 | Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 6? | BUY | 0.9 | $24.47 |
| 02-28 08:43 | Fabric FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.999 | $24.98 |
| 02-27 03:34 | Fabric FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.976 | $24.40 |
| 02-25 07:53 | Will ZachXBT release his investigation on February 26? | BUY | 0.95 | $40.00 |
| 02-25 06:52 | Will MEXC be accused of insider trading? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 02-25 06:43 | Will Moonshot be accused of insider trading? | BUY | 0.0586264959 | $1.00 |
| 02-25 06:32 | Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 02-25 03:21 | Will Axiom be accused of insider trading? | BUY | 0.1110000124 | $1.00 |
| 02-24 08:13 | Will Meteora be accused of insider trading? | SELL | 0.35 | $30.80 |
| 02-24 02:48 | Will Meteora be accused of insider trading? | BUY | 0.35 | $30.80 |
| 02-19 13:20 | OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? | BUY | 0.68 | $47.60 |
| 02-17 15:31 | Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.8669999958 | $100.00 |
| 02-16 00:27 | Will MagicLab have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala? | BUY | 0.0739357074 | $1.00 |
| 02-16 00:21 | Will MagicLab have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala? | BUY | 0.0583811066 | $1.00 |
| 02-15 23:57 | Will GALBOT have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala? | BUY | 0.037384879 | $10.00 |