0xa716624618d49d3c636a76af164cd1db8f44210b
- Realised P&L
- $31.08
- Volume
- $435.02
- Markets traded
- 101
- Open portfolio
- $18.26
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded101
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.01at 0.229Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
- +$6.26at 0.249Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?
- +$5.62at 0.270Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
- +$5.07at 0.290Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
- +$4.45at 0.310US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 20:18 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699998807 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 12:13 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 04:13 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.5899999145 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 20:06 | Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 12:06 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 03:22 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999345 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 19:22 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099999116 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 10:52 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 02:17 | Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13? | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 17:08 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.699999965 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 05:09 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |
| 09-11 19:54 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $2.00 |
| 09-11 10:48 | Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August? | BUY | 0.4899999584 | $2.00 |
| 09-11 01:19 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $2.00 |
| 09-10 17:18 | Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.299999985 | $2.00 |