MochaMocha
0xa714ffec8c355612f2d382b05c5549d30ec0ab88
- Realised P&L
- $-201.04
- Volume
- $70.9k
- Markets traded
- 205
- Open portfolio
- $78.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded205
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$450.22at 0.327Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
- +$348.85at 0.302Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
- +$114.55at 0.288Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
- +$93.65at 0.341Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
- +$66.86at 0.229Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 15:45 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.02 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 15:12 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.1688798807 | $15.00 |
| 09-22 15:06 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.5679618489 | $116.12 |
| 09-22 14:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 14:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 14:22 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.2088575484 | $20.00 |
| 09-22 14:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 14:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 14:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 14:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 13:55 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999983 | $25.00 |
| 09-21 20:16 | U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? | BUY | 0.0699999998 | $16.88 |
| 09-21 20:02 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.0179999999 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 19:58 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 30% and 33% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0183867242 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 19:56 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win less than 30% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0041590302 | $2.00 |