Talvez10
0xa71093cafc0c099b4ccab24c3cb8018d817923c4
- Realised P&L
- $1.85M
- Volume
- $77.64M
- Markets traded
- 1,485
- Open portfolio
- $44.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,485
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Nationals vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5 · Over | 0.510 | 1.000 | $23.3k | +$11.4k |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Colorado Rockies · Colorado Rockies | 0.370 | 0.325 | $21.0k | −$2.9k |
| Jahmai Jones: Home Runs O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.149 | 1.000 | $391.44 | +$333.00 |
| Kyle Schwarber: Home Runs O/U 0.5 · Under | 0.760 | 0.500 | $46.03 | −$23.93 |
| Yordan Alvarez: Home Runs O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.210 | 0.500 | $0.63 | +$0.37 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers · Texas Rangers | 0.475 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$90.8k |
| Jackson Merrill: Home Runs O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.27 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$291.4kat 0.417Knicks vs. 76ers
- +$232.0kat 0.536Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?
- +$222.8kat 0.270UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Urbina vs. Vlasto Cepo (Middleweight, Prelims)
- +$167.2kat 0.528Mavericks vs. Pacers
- +$137.8kat 0.370Noche UFC: Tim Elliott vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 00:05 | Washington Nationals vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $11.6k |
| 09-19 00:01 | Seattle Mariners vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.37 | $23.7k |
| 09-18 19:24 | Jahmai Jones: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.149197861 | $55.80 |
| 09-17 15:23 | Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers | BUY | 0.4739688909 | $5.6k |
| 09-17 14:10 | Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers | BUY | 0.467 | $1.2k |
| 09-16 21:25 | San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5 | BUY | 0.46 | $166.96 |
| 09-16 20:41 | Eugenio Suárez: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.15 | $7.50 |
| 09-15 22:29 | Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.4599974862 | $9.1k |
| 09-15 22:28 | Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.4 | $56.9k |
| 09-15 21:47 | Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.46 | $6.0k |
| 09-15 21:45 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.49 | $29.40 |
| 09-15 20:59 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.47 | $14.5k |
| 09-15 20:58 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.45 | $25.2k |
| 09-15 20:47 | New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.4974181134 | $18.2k |
| 09-15 20:41 | Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.48 | $14.8k |