PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Talvez10

0xa71093cafc0c099b4ccab24c3cb8018d817923c4

Realised P&L
$1.85M
Volume
$77.64M
Markets traded
1,485
Open portfolio
$44.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,485
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Washington Nationals vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5 · Over0.5101.000$23.3k+$11.4k
Seattle Mariners vs. Colorado Rockies · Colorado Rockies0.3700.325$21.0k$2.9k
Jahmai Jones: Home Runs O/U 0.5 · Over0.1491.000$391.44+$333.00
Kyle Schwarber: Home Runs O/U 0.5 · Under0.7600.500$46.03$23.93
Yordan Alvarez: Home Runs O/U 0.5 · Over0.2100.500$0.63+$0.37
Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers · Texas Rangers0.4750.000$0.00$90.8k
Jackson Merrill: Home Runs O/U 0.5 · Over0.2100.000$0.00$0.27

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 00:05Washington Nationals vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5BUY0.51$11.6k
09-19 00:01Seattle Mariners vs. Colorado RockiesBUY0.37$23.7k
09-18 19:24Jahmai Jones: Home Runs O/U 0.5BUY0.149197861$55.80
09-17 15:23Boston Red Sox vs. Texas RangersBUY0.4739688909$5.6k
09-17 14:10Boston Red Sox vs. Texas RangersBUY0.467$1.2k
09-16 21:25San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5BUY0.46$166.96
09-16 20:41Eugenio Suárez: Home Runs O/U 0.5BUY0.15$7.50
09-15 22:29Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5BUY0.4599974862$9.1k
09-15 22:28Kansas City Royals vs. Houston AstrosBUY0.4$56.9k
09-15 21:47Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5BUY0.46$6.0k
09-15 21:45Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5BUY0.49$29.40
09-15 20:59Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5BUY0.47$14.5k
09-15 20:58Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5BUY0.45$25.2k
09-15 20:47New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5BUY0.4974181134$18.2k
09-15 20:41Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5BUY0.48$14.8k