PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

astasiia

0xa70bb6c43e0cee8f94e471a44abc29fb0d586157

Realised P&L
$-647.09
Volume
$136.9k
Markets traded
86
Open portfolio
$1.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded86
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration71.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · Yes0.2320.225$1.2k−$35.34
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? · Yes0.5000.775$355.69+$126.21
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? · No0.5000.225$103.27−$126.21
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0020.002$15.00−$4.99
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 · Gen.G0.5180.000$0.00−$2.47
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? · No0.5500.000$0.00−$302.50
Blue Jackets vs. Canadiens · Canadiens0.5800.000$0.00−$11.60
Ducks vs. Golden Knights · Golden Knights0.6000.000$0.00−$60.00
Will Turkiye join the Board of Peace? · No0.0010.000$0.00−$10.00
Golden Knights vs. Ducks · Ducks0.5000.000$0.00−$50.00
Ducks vs. Oilers · Oilers0.6470.000$0.00−$19.20
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00−$10.50
Knicks vs. Spurs · Spurs0.6400.000$0.00−$647.03
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00−$129.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 16:40Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.002$6.00
10-14 12:33Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?BUY0.17$369.84
10-14 12:31Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.0611000865$122.16
10-13 08:21Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.002$4.00
10-07 07:16Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.002$6.00
09-29 08:04Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.002$4.00
09-21 07:44Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?BUY0.19$190.00
09-15 16:28Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.13$195.00
09-07 17:16Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.17$339.88
09-07 14:36Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?BUY0.32$640.00
07-06 20:54Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.003$1.16
06-30 08:31Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.028$8.40
06-26 16:14Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.001$10.00
06-18 22:36Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?BUY0.53$106.00
06-18 22:33Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?BUY0.53$265.00