PolyBot

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Traders

TheHorrorsPersistButSoDoI

0xa7061a7dad1f570d24d89f1c417492ceb3ab42f0

Realised P&L
$-510.83
Volume
$35.3k
Markets traded
318
Open portfolio
$651.17

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded318
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kristi Noem announce a presidential run before 2027? · No0.8900.968$190.17+$15.25
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027? · No0.9330.959$162.94+$4.32
LA Mayoral Election: Court Rules 1st Round Fraudulent? · No0.9170.786$80.05−$13.31
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.6300.715$71.50+$8.50
Iran Nuke before 2027? · No0.8700.970$48.48+$4.97
Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? · No0.9360.968$48.40+$1.60
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.7600.935$37.40+$7.00
Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027? · No0.8700.971$5.83+$0.61
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0270.025$4.90−$0.50
Discord IPO before 2027? · Yes0.8240.060$1.51−$19.09
Will Naz Reid win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year? · Yes0.3040.000$0.00−$19.44
Will Joe Baldacci be the Democratic nominee for ME-02? · Yes0.7150.000$0.00−$14.30
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? · Yes0.7750.000$0.00−$36.39
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? · No0.6100.000$0.00−$18.30
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.7970.000$0.00−$8.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-24 07:36Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?BUY0.786$92.75
07-24 07:28Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.63$63.00
07-19 20:19Spain to score first vs. Argentina?BUY0.5$22.50
07-14 21:01Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?BUY0.939$46.95
07-14 20:58France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5BUY0.9775$48.88
07-14 20:58France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5BUY0.9175$27.52
07-14 20:57France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5BUY0.89$26.70
07-14 20:48LA Mayoral Election: Court Rules 1st Round Fraudulent?SELL0.011$0.03
07-14 20:46Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.018$3.74
07-14 20:46Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?SELL0.01$0.35
07-14 20:46LA Mayoral Election: Court Rules 1st Round Fraudulent?SELL0.0114217391$0.26
07-12 03:22Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceBUY0.6775$20.32
07-12 02:59Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?BUY0.9349999993$20.00
07-12 02:57Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?SELL0.1275$2.69
07-12 02:23Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceBUY0.9049999995$80.00