TheHorrorsPersistButSoDoI
0xa7061a7dad1f570d24d89f1c417492ceb3ab42f0
- Realised P&L
- $-510.83
- Volume
- $35.3k
- Markets traded
- 318
- Open portfolio
- $651.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded318
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$79.16at 0.882Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
- +$52.17at 0.843Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?
- +$47.70at 0.822Will Israel strike Gaza on March 8, 2026?
- +$39.68at 0.773Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$33.40at 0.838Will Drake have a #1 hit in the US in June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 07:36 | Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.786 | $92.75 |
| 07-24 07:28 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.63 | $63.00 |
| 07-19 20:19 | Spain to score first vs. Argentina? | BUY | 0.5 | $22.50 |
| 07-14 21:01 | Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.939 | $46.95 |
| 07-14 20:58 | France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.9775 | $48.88 |
| 07-14 20:58 | France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.9175 | $27.52 |
| 07-14 20:57 | France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.89 | $26.70 |
| 07-14 20:48 | LA Mayoral Election: Court Rules 1st Round Fraudulent? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.03 |
| 07-14 20:46 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.018 | $3.74 |
| 07-14 20:46 | Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.35 |
| 07-14 20:46 | LA Mayoral Election: Court Rules 1st Round Fraudulent? | SELL | 0.0114217391 | $0.26 |
| 07-12 03:22 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.6775 | $20.32 |
| 07-12 02:59 | Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | BUY | 0.9349999993 | $20.00 |
| 07-12 02:57 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | SELL | 0.1275 | $2.69 |
| 07-12 02:23 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.9049999995 | $80.00 |