octopoda
0xa704dd2e727b581096d53aeb45ba8a401655056f
- Realised P&L
- $858.05
- Volume
- $105.5k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $0.75
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)27.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dota 2: avice Team vs gpk Team - Game 2 Winner · avice Team | 0.020 | 0.001 | $0.75 | −$29.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.016Getafe CF vs. Málaga CF: O/U 0.5
- +$478.72at 0.014Will Arema FC vs. Persik Kediri end in a draw?
- +$135.00at 0.020AFC Ajax vs. Willem II Tilburg: O/U 5.5
- +$130.00at 0.030Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets
- +$70.00at 0.030Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies