kioaww
0xa6ef4aab0d15967a76cc2c575cb7b96dc7110b72
- Realised P&L
- $92.62
- Volume
- $27.3k
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $204.43
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration93.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana dip to $30 in September? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $65.11 | +$0.03 |
| Will XRP dip to $0.40 in September? · No | 0.999 | 0.998 | $45.73 | −$0.05 |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · No | 0.997 | 0.997 | $44.57 | +$0.00 |
| Will Solana reach $200 in September? · No | 0.997 | 0.997 | $27.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will XRP reach $3.00 in September? · No | 0.997 | 0.998 | $21.03 | +$0.01 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026? · No | 0.107 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$97.06at 0.850Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
- +$1.39at 0.964Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
- +$1.12at 0.994Will XRP reach $6.00 before 2026?
- +$0.49at 0.963Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
- +$0.43at 0.996Will XRP reach $3.00 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 14:18 | Will Solana reach $200 in September? | BUY | 0.9969999914 | $28.00 |
| 09-23 14:18 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in September? | BUY | 0.997 | $21.02 |
| 09-23 14:16 | Will Solana dip to $30 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $65.08 |
| 09-23 14:14 | Will XRP dip to $0.40 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $45.78 |
| 09-23 14:12 | Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $44.57 |
| 08-13 08:21 | Will the price of Solana be less than $30 on August 15? | BUY | 0.999 | $76.06 |
| 08-13 08:20 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in August? | BUY | 0.995999996 | $88.00 |
| 08-13 08:20 | Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.9969999794 | $39.90 |
| 07-28 13:54 | Will Solana reach $130 in July? | BUY | 0.9989999995 | $55.92 |
| 07-28 13:53 | Will Solana dip to $10 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $39.93 |
| 07-05 14:22 | Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.9619999996 | $31.00 |
| 07-05 14:22 | Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.9609999519 | $5.86 |
| 07-05 14:19 | Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $57.00 |
| 06-27 06:35 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June? | BUY | 0.999 | $124.44 |
| 06-14 14:28 | Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $124.42 |