0xa6e87ac35b6c4150ce8d5388199d21d3272f227a
0xa6e87ac35b6c4150ce8d5388199d21d3272f227a
- Realised P&L
- $-9.63
- Volume
- $120.71
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $0.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on October 1? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.720 | $0.96 | −$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.19at 0.321Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting?
- +$1.53at 0.566U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
- +$1.04at 0.659Will Trump say "Transgender" during Michigan remarks?
- +$0.99at 0.270Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?
- +$0.71at 0.740Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 08:29 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on October 1? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 22:38 | Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 14:38 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 06:13 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:05 | Will Elon tweet 800-839 times in September 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $1.06 |
| 09-24 20:05 | Will Elon tweet 800-839 times in September 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 08-21 20:52 | Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%? | BUY | 0.3299998927 | $2.00 |
| 08-12 19:43 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.31 |
| 08-12 11:39 | Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July? | BUY | 0.59999994 | $2.00 |
| 08-12 03:35 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.4199999454 | $2.00 |
| 08-11 18:53 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.7799996958 | $2.00 |
| 08-11 11:56 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.43 | $2.20 |
| 08-11 11:56 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.94 | $2.54 |
| 08-11 11:56 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July? | SELL | 0.41 | $3.15 |
| 08-04 22:00 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.7399997262 | $2.00 |