phsr
0xa6e4d6da7e3ba05550437db4475eacb1cc21369f
- Realised P&L
- $54.50
- Volume
- $1.47M
- Markets traded
- 429
- Open portfolio
- $4.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded429
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.8kat 0.505Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?
- +$2.7kat 0.085Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?
- +$2.0kat 0.043Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?
- +$1.8kat 0.373Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?
- +$1.4kat 0.741Will Tucker Carlson be named StopAntisemitism's 2025 Antisemite of the Year?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:26 | Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | SELL | 0.84 | $168.00 |
| 11-01 21:49 | Will Yashar be in the next Israeli government? | BUY | 0.533619975 | $294.82 |
| 11-01 08:20 | Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | BUY | 0.7088576 | $354.43 |
| 10-31 07:04 | Israeli election results in a hung parliament? | BUY | 0.4776796538 | $278.19 |
| 10-31 00:52 | Will the next governing coalition of Israel consist of Yashar + Together + YB + Democrats + Ra'am? | BUY | 0.88 | $36.09 |
| 10-31 00:38 | Will the next Israeli government hold fewer than 58 seats? | BUY | 0.37 | $15.91 |
| 10-30 08:17 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3395359675 | $152.79 |
| 10-29 20:36 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3126 | $156.30 |
| 10-29 19:46 | Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | BUY | 0.66478675 | $265.91 |
| 10-29 07:31 | Next Israeli government a minority government? | BUY | 0.2174117996 | $44.00 |
| 10-29 04:32 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.25738541 | $257.39 |
| 10-29 02:47 | Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | BUY | 0.4712278571 | $329.86 |
| 10-28 23:19 | Next Israeli government a minority government? | BUY | 0.258784972 | $323.74 |
| 10-28 07:08 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2079799023 | $106.49 |
| 10-28 05:58 | Israel Election: Arab party and Likud in coalition? | BUY | 0.7964892927 | $73.64 |