PolyBot

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Traders

phsr

0xa6e4d6da7e3ba05550437db4475eacb1cc21369f

Realised P&L
$54.50
Volume
$1.47M
Markets traded
429
Open portfolio
$4.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded429
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.2790.437$1.6k+$565.04
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? · Yes0.5940.845$1.2k+$351.57
Next Israeli government a minority government? · Yes0.2470.305$485.61+$91.50
Israeli election results in a hung parliament? · No0.4780.555$323.22+$45.03
Will Yashar be in the next Israeli government? · Yes0.5340.585$323.21+$28.39
Israel Election: Arab party and Likud in coalition? · No0.7960.970$89.64+$16.00
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.2760.138$72.61−$72.45
Will the next governing coalition of Israel consist of Yashar + Together + YB + Democrats + Ra'am? · No0.8800.946$38.77+$2.69
Will the next Israeli government hold fewer than 58 seats? · Yes0.3700.275$11.82−$4.08
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30? · Yes0.1650.000$0.00−$281.92
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 11? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00−$76.64
Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 17, 2026? · Yes0.0650.000$0.00−$21.21
Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 28, 2026? · Yes0.0650.000$0.00−$21.21
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 15? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00−$77.39
Will Iran strike Israel on March 7? · No0.4210.000$0.00−$82.76

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 22:26Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?SELL0.84$168.00
11-01 21:49Will Yashar be in the next Israeli government?BUY0.533619975$294.82
11-01 08:20Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?BUY0.7088576$354.43
10-31 07:04Israeli election results in a hung parliament?BUY0.4776796538$278.19
10-31 00:52Will the next governing coalition of Israel consist of Yashar + Together + YB + Democrats + Ra'am?BUY0.88$36.09
10-31 00:38Will the next Israeli government hold fewer than 58 seats?BUY0.37$15.91
10-30 08:17Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3395359675$152.79
10-29 20:36Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3126$156.30
10-29 19:46Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?BUY0.66478675$265.91
10-29 07:31Next Israeli government a minority government?BUY0.2174117996$44.00
10-29 04:32Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.25738541$257.39
10-29 02:47Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?BUY0.4712278571$329.86
10-28 23:19Next Israeli government a minority government?BUY0.258784972$323.74
10-28 07:08Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.2079799023$106.49
10-28 05:58Israel Election: Arab party and Likud in coalition?BUY0.7964892927$73.64