sdju88
0xa6df7cf9dbf84d615c4ba712bd45c7078b691037
- Realised P&L
- $406.52
- Volume
- $14.0k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $48.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No | 0.963 | 0.989 | $27.10 | +$0.70 |
| Unit FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No | 0.880 | 0.845 | $21.13 | −$0.88 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$416.09at 0.580Clippers vs. Mavericks
- +$1.33at 0.974Xi Jinping out in 2025?
- +$0.66at 0.898Berachain airdrop in 2024?
- +$0.25at 0.994Will the Utah Jazz win the 2025 NBA Finals?
- +$0.23at 0.995Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-28 05:14 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.32 |
| 02-28 05:12 | Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | BUY | 0.9739999985 | $4.00 |
| 02-28 05:12 | Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | BUY | 0.976 | $3.00 |
| 02-28 05:12 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.9629999698 | $26.40 |
| 11-15 11:51 | Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | SELL | 0.974 | $33.96 |
| 07-17 14:47 | Will XRP reach $4.0 in July? | SELL | 0.724 | $34.46 |
| 04-24 08:26 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.50 in April? | BUY | 0.999 | $42.46 |
| 01-08 11:47 | Will the Utah Jazz win the 2025 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.9939999999 | $42.20 |
| 01-08 11:46 | Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.9689999889 | $2.00 |
| 01-08 11:46 | Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.9789999951 | $1.80 |
| 12-28 09:34 | Rabby airdrop in 2024? | BUY | 0.998 | $42.55 |
| 12-16 04:50 | Will Red Star Belgrade win the UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $20.89 |
| 12-16 04:49 | Base airdrop in 2024? | BUY | 0.9929999453 | $15.00 |
| 12-16 04:48 | Berachain airdrop in 2024? | BUY | 0.8979999877 | $6.00 |
| 11-12 04:29 | Will Dynamo Kyiv win the UEFA Europa League? | BUY | 0.996 | $39.00 |