fwycfpg
0xa6dcc89a31d7d68c961969eed282690ed41912ec
- Realised P&L
- $-24.3k
- Volume
- $2.30M
- Markets traded
- 4,678
- Open portfolio
- $21.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,678
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CXMT be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? · No | 0.870 | 0.840 | $16.80 | −$0.60 |
| Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.165 | $4.76 | −$4.47 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.400Lakers vs. Rockets
- +$419.98at 0.360LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
- +$360.00at 0.280Timberwolves vs. Spurs
- +$310.74at 0.347LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
- +$282.00at 0.436LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 06:11 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | SELL | 0.04 | $4.00 |
| 09-12 16:21 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.08 |
| 09-10 19:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3PM ET | SELL | 0.25 | $17.26 |
| 09-07 17:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET | SELL | 0.25 | $25.00 |
| 09-07 16:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET | SELL | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 09-07 13:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET | SELL | 0.68 | $1.24 |
| 09-07 13:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $0.06 |
| 09-01 16:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET | BUY | 0.93 | $93.00 |
| 09-01 16:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET | BUY | 0.331059 | $66.21 |
| 08-30 19:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET | SELL | 0.02 | $4.00 |
| 08-29 20:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET | SELL | 0.01 | $0.40 |
| 08-29 19:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.06475 | $12.95 |
| 08-29 17:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET | BUY | 0.2513405 | $50.27 |
| 08-29 15:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET | SELL | 0.9365656566 | $92.72 |
| 08-28 16:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET | BUY | 0.49 | $98.00 |