PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

lemon-orange

0xa6db4d9094d1876c9626effd4a60bda03458b35e

Realised P&L
$-185.95
Volume
$72.8k
Markets traded
1,546
Open portfolio
$57.78

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,546
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration10.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 25? · Yes0.6400.655$21.78+$0.50
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 24? · Yes0.4700.435$8.70$0.70
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 25? · Yes0.3380.300$6.60$0.83
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 24? · Yes0.3500.430$4.30+$0.80
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on September 24? · Yes0.1700.160$4.29$0.27
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on September 24? · Yes0.3500.335$3.35$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 24? · Yes0.4400.470$2.35+$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 25? · Yes0.3200.315$2.21$0.04
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 25? · Yes0.2500.215$2.15$0.35
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 24? · Yes0.2800.100$1.00$1.80
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 24? · Yes0.3800.065$0.50$2.45
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 25? · Yes0.1700.100$0.50$0.35
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 24? · Yes0.4500.010$0.05$2.20
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on September 23? · Yes0.3100.001$0.00$1.55
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 23? · Yes0.5000.001$0.00$2.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 04:03Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on September 24?BUY0.1699999963$4.56
09-24 02:56Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on September 24?BUY0.35$3.50
09-24 02:14Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 25?BUY0.34$5.78
09-24 02:00Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 25?BUY0.64$21.28
09-24 02:00Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 25?BUY0.25$2.50
09-24 01:53Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 25?BUY0.17$0.85
09-24 01:41Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 24?BUY0.3799999948$2.95
09-23 08:19Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 24?BUY0.44$2.20
09-23 08:09Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 23?SELL0.999$4.99
09-23 01:46Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 24?BUY0.35$3.50
09-23 01:43Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 22?SELL0.999$9.99
09-22 08:14Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 22?SELL0.999$3.84
09-22 01:15Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 21?SELL0.999$9.99
09-21 12:59Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 21?SELL0.999$5.00
09-21 12:58Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 41°C on September 21?SELL0.997$9.97