lemon-orange
0xa6db4d9094d1876c9626effd4a60bda03458b35e
- Realised P&L
- $-185.95
- Volume
- $72.8k
- Markets traded
- 1,546
- Open portfolio
- $57.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,546
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$611.80at 0.011Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4AM ET
- +$274.86at 0.265Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
- +$223.66at 0.495Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
- +$155.13at 0.226Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
- +$149.78at 0.268Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 04:03 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on September 24? | BUY | 0.1699999963 | $4.56 |
| 09-24 02:56 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.35 | $3.50 |
| 09-24 02:14 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.34 | $5.78 |
| 09-24 02:00 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.64 | $21.28 |
| 09-24 02:00 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.50 |
| 09-24 01:53 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.17 | $0.85 |
| 09-24 01:41 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.3799999948 | $2.95 |
| 09-23 08:19 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.44 | $2.20 |
| 09-23 08:09 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.999 | $4.99 |
| 09-23 01:46 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 24? | BUY | 0.35 | $3.50 |
| 09-23 01:43 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 22? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 09-22 08:14 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.999 | $3.84 |
| 09-22 01:15 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 21? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 09-21 12:59 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 12:58 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 41°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.997 | $9.97 |