PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

christopher83

0xa6d6659df31d26039913fba4a303279378d647fd

Realised P&L
$-52.56
Volume
$23.7k
Markets traded
84
Open portfolio
$31.70

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded84
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.7960.956$13.96+$2.34
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on September 23? · No0.9410.844$9.97$1.15
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $640 in September? · No0.8720.924$7.77+$0.44

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 01:20Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?BUY0.65$8.58
01-31 13:26Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January?BUY0.998999914$9.20
01-30 12:53Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of January?BUY0.9979998736$7.74
01-30 12:46Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?BUY0.9969999999$17.50
01-30 12:09Will OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?BUY0.999$23.94
01-30 12:04Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,475-$4,600 in January?BUY0.992$29.50
12-30 17:47Will XRP reach $6.00 before 2026?BUY0.9989999339$3.75
12-30 15:46Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?BUY0.993$3.55
12-30 15:19Maduro out in 2025?BUY0.993999954$6.26
12-30 11:33Will Trump pardon Young Thug in 2025?BUY0.999$23.76
12-29 22:19Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31? BUY0.996$19.02
12-29 21:45Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.9929999758$35.69
10-30 23:05Will Google have the second best AI model on October 31?BUY0.999$23.21
10-30 20:41Will Google have the second best AI model on October 31?BUY0.999$24.88
10-30 18:39Will Oracle be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?BUY0.999$25.80