christopher83
0xa6d6659df31d26039913fba4a303279378d647fd
- Realised P&L
- $-52.56
- Volume
- $23.7k
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $31.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.796 | 0.956 | $13.96 | +$2.34 |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on September 23? · No | 0.941 | 0.844 | $9.97 | −$1.15 |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $640 in September? · No | 0.872 | 0.924 | $7.77 | +$0.44 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$105.19at 0.310Will Fulham vs. Southampton end in a draw?
- +$2.20at 0.780Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $189 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$0.52at 0.967Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?
- +$0.43at 0.710Solana above $185 on January 3?
- +$0.41at 0.640Bitcoin above $97,000 on December 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 01:20 | Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes? | BUY | 0.65 | $8.58 |
| 01-31 13:26 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January? | BUY | 0.998999914 | $9.20 |
| 01-30 12:53 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of January? | BUY | 0.9979998736 | $7.74 |
| 01-30 12:46 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $17.50 |
| 01-30 12:09 | Will OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $23.94 |
| 01-30 12:04 | Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,475-$4,600 in January? | BUY | 0.992 | $29.50 |
| 12-30 17:47 | Will XRP reach $6.00 before 2026? | BUY | 0.9989999339 | $3.75 |
| 12-30 15:46 | Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31? | BUY | 0.993 | $3.55 |
| 12-30 15:19 | Maduro out in 2025? | BUY | 0.993999954 | $6.26 |
| 12-30 11:33 | Will Trump pardon Young Thug in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $23.76 |
| 12-29 22:19 | Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31? | BUY | 0.996 | $19.02 |
| 12-29 21:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9929999758 | $35.69 |
| 10-30 23:05 | Will Google have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $23.21 |
| 10-30 20:41 | Will Google have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.88 |
| 10-30 18:39 | Will Oracle be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.80 |