mtm101
0xa6d16ec668c14ee2e9c126aa141f8013c8abbd47
- Realised P&L
- $175.45
- Volume
- $135.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,083
- Open portfolio
- $3.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,083
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration42.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$125.62at 0.360Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on November 1?
- +$119.77at 0.745Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 22?
- +$111.13at 0.374Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 27?
- +$107.10at 0.437Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on August 31?
- +$101.50at 0.331Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 23:01 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on November 2? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.24 |
| 11-01 23:01 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on November 2? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.50 |
| 11-01 22:46 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on November 2? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.06 |
| 11-01 22:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 5? | SELL | 0.9 | $9.79 |
| 11-01 22:46 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on November 2? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.50 |
| 11-01 22:30 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on November 2? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.17 |
| 11-01 22:30 | Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on November 4? | BUY | 0.66 | $9.99 |
| 11-01 22:30 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on November 2? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.11 |
| 11-01 20:35 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on November 2? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 11-01 20:16 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on November 2? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 11-01 19:30 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on November 2? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 11-01 18:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 5? | SELL | 0.956 | $10.54 |
| 11-01 16:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 3? | SELL | 0.956 | $11.58 |
| 11-01 16:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 3? | SELL | 0.956 | $12.05 |
| 11-01 16:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 3? | SELL | 0.956 | $12.05 |