0xA6cFb28d2E89c3120D80924112C2854c7885af3b-1768969052150
0xa6cfb28d2e89c3120d80924112c2854c7885af3b
- Realised P&L
- $-82.05
- Volume
- $5.3k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $721.91
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? · Yes | 0.306 | 0.385 | $314.07 | +$64.07 |
| Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.162 | 0.160 | $197.93 | −$2.06 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.095 | $133.93 | +$21.15 |
| Will Russia capture Serhiivka by December 31? · Yes | 0.191 | 0.145 | $75.98 | −$24.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.85at 0.972Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by January 31?
- +$-84.90at 0.160Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 08:07 | Will Russia capture Serhiivka by December 31? | BUY | 0.1908436834 | $100.00 |
| 10-18 07:55 | Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? | BUY | 0.3064605036 | $250.00 |
| 10-06 18:01 | Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1616699554 | $200.00 |
| 10-06 17:27 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.08 | $112.78 |
| 10-06 17:25 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.024153456 | $15.10 |
| 01-21 20:06 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $100.00 |
| 01-21 20:04 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by January 31? | BUY | 0.9722652587 | $100.00 |