PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xA6cFb28d2E89c3120D80924112C2854c7885af3b-1768969052150

0xa6cfb28d2e89c3120d80924112c2854c7885af3b

Realised P&L
$-82.05
Volume
$5.3k
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$721.91

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? · Yes0.3060.385$314.07+$64.07
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1620.160$197.93−$2.06
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.0800.095$133.93+$21.15
Will Russia capture Serhiivka by December 31? · Yes0.1910.145$75.98−$24.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 08:07Will Russia capture Serhiivka by December 31?BUY0.1908436834$100.00
10-18 07:55Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?BUY0.3064605036$250.00
10-06 18:01Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1616699554$200.00
10-06 17:27Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.08$112.78
10-06 17:25Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?SELL0.024153456$15.10
01-21 20:06Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.16$100.00
01-21 20:04Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by January 31?BUY0.9722652587$100.00