sirmisterk
0xa6b8d99acfa5ddf3939baa889a8e0cdef8a44bdf
- Realised P&L
- $1.9k
- Volume
- $2.10M
- Markets traded
- 6,860
- Open portfolio
- $13.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,860
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration30.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$58.74at 0.101Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goals
- +$57.43at 0.020Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score
- +$57.19at 0.067Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 15?
- +$50.13at 0.222Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
- +$48.32at 0.392Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 00:36 | Will Olivier Faure be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.018 | $0.02 |
| 08-05 13:42 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.395 | $0.63 |
| 08-05 09:43 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | SELL | 0.028 | $0.03 |
| 08-05 07:23 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | SELL | 0.034 | $0.03 |
| 08-05 00:44 | Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.00 |
| 08-04 15:47 | Squid FDV above $100M one day after launch | SELL | 0.42 | $0.42 |
| 08-04 01:48 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.226 | $0.23 |
| 08-03 16:05 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.156 | $0.16 |
| 08-03 16:04 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.157 | $0.16 |
| 08-03 04:48 | Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.092 | $0.09 |
| 08-02 21:26 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.188 | $0.19 |
| 08-02 18:33 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.224 | $0.22 |
| 08-02 13:57 | Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.01 |
| 08-02 06:40 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.139 | $0.14 |
| 08-02 03:53 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.11 |