javivisan
0xa6b6ebe4161ce33c0cd9a2da7ef6c21f5c82402e
- Realised P&L
- $-149.61
- Volume
- $16.8k
- Markets traded
- 1,035
- Open portfolio
- $3.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,035
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.185 | $2.22 | +$0.06 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.195 | $1.17 | +$0.03 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? · No | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.94 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.84at 0.631Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 17?
- +$15.39at 0.483Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
- +$14.70at 0.020Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
- +$14.70at 0.020Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
- +$14.69at 0.020Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 16:26 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.14 |
| 09-14 13:54 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $2.94 |
| 09-11 11:45 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.454 | $2.27 |
| 09-07 22:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET | BUY | 0.3299999949 | $2.60 |
| 09-04 10:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET | BUY | 0.4799999608 | $2.45 |
| 08-06 07:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.7399999879 | $3.68 |
| 08-06 07:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | BUY | 0.7399999879 | $3.68 |
| 08-06 04:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | BUY | 0.94 | $1.28 |
| 08-06 02:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 02:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 01:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET | BUY | 0.9199999926 | $4.97 |
| 08-05 22:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 21:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $4.99 |
| 08-05 19:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $4.99 |
| 08-05 17:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $4.99 |