PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

pikers

0xa6a445baca52f99b7c2f16cd90b7e51c23b43431

Realised P&L
$-369.17
Volume
$2.4k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$12.22

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-15.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration86.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
1win FDV above $30M one day after launch? · Yes0.9301.000$12.22+$0.85
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? · No0.2760.000$0.00−$400.00
Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8000.000$0.00−$8.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 20:391win FDV above $30M one day after launch?BUY0.9299999583$11.37
09-28 19:28US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?BUY0.997$11.30
09-28 19:22Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8$8.90
09-28 19:19Will Kanye West meet with Vladimir Putin by October 31?BUY0.98$51.00
09-28 19:18Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?BUY0.9389999999$28.80
08-30 22:24Kanye West arrested in Russia by October 31?BUY0.98$59.40
08-30 22:23Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.996999997$100.00
05-31 19:35US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY0.994$158.00
04-28 12:49Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?BUY0.9979999941$158.20
03-29 16:50Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?BUY0.998$157.89
11-26 10:36Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?BUY0.7599999995$120.00
11-26 10:32Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?BUY0.2759999996$400.00