PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

AFLightings

0xa6a1d92728f2497e941e671e463438e67173fc5a

Realised P&L
$43.5k
Volume
$120.7k
Markets traded
137
Open portfolio
$34.95

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar36.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded137
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration99.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Solana be above $115 on October 6? · Yes0.9891.000$2.34+$0.03
Will the price of Solana be above $130 on October 6? · No0.9961.000$2.32+$0.01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 6? · No0.9961.000$2.32+$0.01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 6? · Yes0.9981.000$2.31+$0.00
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on October 6? · No0.9981.000$2.12+$0.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 6? · No0.9961.000$2.12+$0.01
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 October 5-11? · No0.9950.993$2.10−$0.01
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 October 5-11? · No0.9940.992$2.10−$0.01
Will Ethereum reach $3,300 October 5-11? · No0.9940.993$1.82−$0.00
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 October 5-11? · No0.9920.976$1.79−$0.03
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on October 6? · Yes0.9971.000$1.71+$0.01
Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on October 6? · No0.9991.000$1.70+$0.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 6? · Yes0.9961.000$1.68+$0.01
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 6? · Yes0.9991.000$1.67+$0.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 6? · No0.9831.000$1.44+$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 11:57Will XRP dip to $0.80 October 5-11?BUY0.999$1.36
10-06 11:57Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 5-11?BUY0.9879994927$1.34
10-06 11:56Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 October 5-11?BUY0.992$1.42
10-06 11:56Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 October 5-11?BUY0.995$2.11
10-06 11:56Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 October 5-11?BUY0.997$1.34
10-06 11:56Will Ethereum reach $3,200 October 5-11?BUY0.991999686$1.82
10-06 11:56Will Ethereum reach $3,300 October 5-11?BUY0.9939999989$1.82
10-06 11:56Will Ethereum reach $3,400 October 5-11?BUY0.9939999981$2.11
10-06 11:56Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on October 6?BUY0.998$2.12
10-06 11:56Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on October 6?BUY0.999$1.70
10-06 11:56Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on October 6?BUY0.997$1.70
10-06 11:56Will the price of Solana be above $130 on October 6?BUY0.9959996171$2.31
10-06 11:56Will the price of Solana be above $115 on October 6?BUY0.9889999983$2.31
10-06 11:56Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 6?BUY0.9829996442$1.42
10-06 11:56Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 6?BUY0.9959999509$2.11