martin1337
0xa69ce5aba085f04adf8c619b100b72979c05ccc0
- Realised P&L
- $-2.37
- Volume
- $0.00
- Markets traded
- 0
- Open portfolio
- $17.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded0
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? · No | 0.780 | 0.935 | $2.40 | +$0.40 |
| Will FURIA make a roster change before July? · No | 0.870 | 1.000 | $2.25 | +$0.29 |
| Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026? · No | 0.956 | 0.959 | $2.00 | +$0.01 |
| Will X launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? · No | 0.900 | 0.905 | $1.98 | +$0.01 |
| Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30? · No | 0.930 | 1.000 | $1.59 | +$0.11 |
| Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup? · Yes | 0.943 | 1.000 | $1.58 | +$0.09 |
| Will the U.S. national debt hit $40 trillion before 2027? · Yes | 0.949 | 1.000 | $1.56 | +$0.08 |
| New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? · No | 0.953 | 0.964 | $1.52 | +$0.02 |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026? · No | 0.880 | 0.896 | $1.50 | +$0.03 |
| Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.265 | $0.78 | −$0.58 |
| Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? · Yes | 0.910 | 0.225 | $0.49 | −$1.48 |
| Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027? · No | 0.715 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.87 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.00at 0.213US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
- +$0.00at 0.490SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.071Will Tom Begich advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?