fanbinb
0xa69b41b8d15ef240bf223e74e7bd483d6ecb4227
- Realised P&L
- $-58.24
- Volume
- $3.1k
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $13.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will BNB reach $1100 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.233 | 0.125 | $7.50 | −$6.50 |
| Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.160 | $3.20 | +$0.40 |
| Will BNB dip to $500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.130 | $1.30 | −$2.70 |
| Will BNB dip to $400 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.105 | $1.05 | −$2.55 |
| Will BNB dip to $300 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.034 | $0.34 | −$1.26 |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $38 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.60 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.90 |
| Will Solana dip to $90 before 2026? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.70 |
| Will Solana reach $260 before 2026? · Yes | 0.196 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$41.20 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on December 4? · Down | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
| Will Solana reach $240 in October? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$32.80 |
| Will Solana dip to $120 in October? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.80at 0.440Will Solana dip to $120 before 2026?
- +$4.20at 0.350Will Hyperliquid reach $58 by December 31, 2026?
- +$3.40at 0.100Solana all time high before 2026?
- +$2.40at 0.370Will Hyperliquid reach $54 by December 31, 2026?
- +$1.56at 0.984Will Solana reach $580 before 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 09:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.58 | $5.80 |
| 12-30 05:02 | Will edgeX launch a token in 2025? | SELL | 0.5215 | $10.43 |
| 12-30 03:37 | Will edgeX launch a token in 2025? | BUY | 0.422 | $8.44 |
| 12-30 03:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 12-25 02:44 | Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $19.96 |
| 12-23 03:15 | Will Solana reach $310 before 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $19.96 |
| 12-18 06:40 | Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31? | SELL | 0.994 | $39.76 |
| 12-08 06:01 | Will Solana dip to $120 before 2026? | SELL | 0.53 | $5.30 |
| 12-02 05:39 | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | SELL | 0.997 | $19.94 |
| 11-29 09:45 | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.997 | $19.94 |
| 11-29 09:44 | Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? | SELL | 0.991 | $19.82 |
| 11-25 03:28 | Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? | BUY | 0.987 | $19.74 |
| 11-21 04:28 | Will Solana reach $580 before 2026? | SELL | 0.987 | $19.74 |
| 11-16 07:21 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | SELL | 0.986 | $19.72 |
| 11-04 04:12 | Will Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025? | SELL | 0.991 | $19.82 |