TheSilentEdge
0xa69a7e1bdf620acfa00b71a8894bcf6f6365ce3d
- Realised P&L
- $-75.02
- Volume
- $14.3k
- Markets traded
- 195
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded195
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.51at 0.216Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 15?
- +$8.12at 0.156Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on August 15?
- +$7.60at 0.721Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 19?
- +$7.37at 0.397Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 26?
- +$7.10at 0.290Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 23:03 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on September 25? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.00 |
| 09-24 23:03 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on September 25? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.02 |
| 09-24 23:03 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 25? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.17 |
| 09-24 23:02 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 73°F or below on September 25? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.02 |
| 09-24 23:02 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 25? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.21 |
| 09-24 23:01 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 25? | SELL | 0.34 | $0.72 |
| 09-24 23:01 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 25? | SELL | 0.41 | $0.87 |
| 09-19 21:59 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 19? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.20 |
| 09-19 20:48 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.04 |
| 09-19 19:11 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 19? | SELL | 0.31 | $2.14 |
| 09-19 12:24 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 09-19 09:38 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.0012926034 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 21:36 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.40 |
| 09-18 20:20 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.669 | $6.69 |
| 09-18 19:16 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.14 | $0.70 |