TheSilentEdge
0xa69a7e1bdf620acfa00b71a8894bcf6f6365ce3d
- Realised P&L
- $-40.87
- Volume
- $7.8k
- Markets traded
- 92
- Open portfolio
- $9.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded92
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.57at 0.380Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 26?
- +$7.42at 0.280Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 19?
- +$6.06at 0.210Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 22?
- +$5.70at 0.430Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on July 30?
- +$4.35at 0.170Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 19:26 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.08 |
| 08-04 19:12 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.45 | $2.70 |
| 08-03 20:56 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 08-03 16:26 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.10 |
| 08-03 16:25 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.38 | $1.90 |
| 08-03 11:04 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 3? | SELL | 0.46 | $2.30 |
| 08-02 17:46 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 2? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.25 |
| 08-02 15:50 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 2? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.50 |
| 08-02 15:39 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.0919 | $0.92 |
| 08-02 09:18 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 2? | SELL | 0.68 | $3.40 |
| 08-01 17:50 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 1? | SELL | 0.78 | $3.90 |
| 08-01 16:38 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 1? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.60 |
| 07-31 10:08 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on July 31? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.20 |
| 07-31 07:47 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on July 31? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.90 |
| 07-30 20:37 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 30? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.15 |