PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

TheSilentEdge

0xa69a7e1bdf620acfa00b71a8894bcf6f6365ce3d

Realised P&L
$-75.02
Volume
$14.3k
Markets traded
195
Open portfolio
$0.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded195
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on September 25? · Yes0.0500.001$0.00−$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on September 25? · Yes0.0500.001$0.00−$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on September 25? · Yes0.0500.001$0.00−$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 92°F or higher on September 25? · Yes0.0500.001$0.00−$0.10
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on August 10? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 16? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$0.26
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 19? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 11? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00−$2.95
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on August 31? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on August 16? · Yes0.4630.000$0.00−$6.95
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on September 1? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$1.02
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 12? · Yes0.2660.000$0.00−$3.72
Will the lowest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on September 12? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 57°F or below on September 12? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$1.15
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on August 27? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$0.44

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 23:03Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on September 25?SELL0.002$0.00
09-24 23:03Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on September 25?SELL0.01$0.02
09-24 23:03Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 25?SELL0.08$0.17
09-24 23:02Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 73°F or below on September 25?SELL0.008$0.02
09-24 23:02Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 25?SELL0.1$0.21
09-24 23:01Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 25?SELL0.34$0.72
09-24 23:01Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 25?SELL0.41$0.87
09-19 21:59Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 19?SELL0.02$0.20
09-19 20:48Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 19?BUY0.13$1.04
09-19 19:11Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 19?SELL0.31$2.14
09-19 12:24Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 19?BUY0.32$1.60
09-19 09:38Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 19?BUY0.0012926034$1.00
09-18 21:36Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 19?SELL0.08$0.40
09-18 20:20Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 19?BUY0.669$6.69
09-18 19:16Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 19?SELL0.14$0.70