0xa69865dc13c885d75d2c6025a4a16f604c8339d7
0xa69865dc13c885d75d2c6025a4a16f604c8339d7
- Realised P&L
- $-37.71
- Volume
- $181.85
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $6.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-20.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration94.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.500 | $6.00 | +$3.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET · Up | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.26 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.22at 0.773Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
- +$0.37at 0.991Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
- +$-1.10at 0.860Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 15:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | BUY | 0.5299999941 | $40.26 |
| 10-02 14:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $40.00 |
| 10-02 14:37 | Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.81 | $9.87 |
| 10-02 14:36 | Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $10.00 |
| 10-02 14:29 | Will Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October? | BUY | 0.25 | $3.00 |
| 10-02 14:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BUY | 0.7299999807 | $20.00 |